Final Score: Astros 0 - Reds 5
Sunday, May 10, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Astros @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
16-24 Rating 1506
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Reds
21-19 Rating 1499
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Reds
All-time wins 354 378
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Reds
Games played 40 40
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.6 4.9
Win percentage 40% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 55%