Final Score: Dodgers 8 - Astros 3
Monday, May 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Dodgers @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Dodgers
21-13 Rating 1578
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +0.5
Astros
14-21 Rating 1507
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Dodgers Astros
All-time wins 328 289
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Dodgers Astros
Games played 34 35
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.1
Avg runs conceded 3.3 5.7
Win percentage 62% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 50%