Final Score: Marlins 2 - Dodgers 1
Tuesday, April 28, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Dodgers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
13-16 Rating 1478
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Dodgers +1.4
Dodgers
20-9 Rating 1586
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Dodgers
All-time wins 101 133
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.9 5.0
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Dodgers
Games played 29 29
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.7
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.3
Win percentage 45% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 23% 75%