Final Score: Astros 6 - Red Sox 3
Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Astros @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 53 | 54 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 3 |
| Stat | Astros | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 33 | 32 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 6.0 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 36% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 24% | 43% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Boston Red Sox
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs New York Yankees
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs New York Yankees
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs New York Yankees
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Cleveland Guardians
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
Red Sox
vs Houston Astros
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 18
17-1
@ Baltimore Orioles
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
vs New York Yankees
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs New York Yankees
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs New York Yankees
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4