Final Score: Red Sox 17 - Orioles 1
Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
9-17 Rating 1507
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.1
Orioles
13-13 Rating 1501
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 486 394
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.0 4.5
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 26 26
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.5
Win percentage 35% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 54%