Final Score: Reds 1 - Pirates 9
Friday, May 1, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Reds @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 434 | 391 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 8 |
| Stat | Reds | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 31 | 32 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 65% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 77% | 47% |
Recent Results
Reds
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 15
2-13
vs Colorado Rockies
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
Pirates
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 30, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Texas Rangers
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5