Final Score: Cardinals 4 - Pirates 2
Monday, April 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cardinals @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
14-13 Rating 1493
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.1
Pirates
16-12 Rating 1481
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Pirates
All-time wins 506 435
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Pirates
Games played 27 28
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.0
Win percentage 52% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 62%