Final Score: Rays 8 - Pirates 7
Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET

Rays @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
11-8 Rating 1504
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.0
Pirates
12-8 Rating 1479
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Pirates
All-time wins 16 12
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Pirates
Games played 19 20
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.0
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.9
Win percentage 58% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 64%