Final Score: Nationals 0 - Pirates 2
Wednesday, April 15, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
8-9 Rating 1450
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.5
Pirates
10-7 Rating 1478
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Pirates
All-time wins 320 345
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Pirates
Games played 17 17
Avg runs scored 5.8 5.1
Avg runs conceded 6.4 4.0
Win percentage 47% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 64% 62%