Final Score: Nationals 5 - Pirates 16
Monday, April 13, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
7-8 Rating 1449
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.5
Pirates
9-6 Rating 1478
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Pirates
All-time wins 319 344
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Pirates
Games played 15 15
Avg runs scored 5.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 5.9 3.9
Win percentage 47% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 67%