Final Score: Padres 1 - Pirates 7
Tuesday, April 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Padres @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
5-5 Rating 1536
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Pirates
6-4 Rating 1475
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Pirates
All-time wins 246 275
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Pirates
Games played 10 10
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.9
Win percentage 50% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 75% 75%