Final Score: Tigers 5 - Padres 2
Friday, March 27, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Tigers @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
1-0 Rating 1508
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
0-1 Rating 1535
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Padres
All-time wins 20 13
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 3.8
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Padres
Games played 1 1
Avg runs scored 8.0 2.0
Avg runs conceded 2.0 8.0
Win percentage 100% 0%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 0%