Final Score: Tigers 3 - Red Sox 4
Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:05 PM ET

Tigers @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
87-74 Rating 1507
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Red Sox
88-73 Rating 1525
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Red Sox
All-time wins 268 344
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 5.1
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Red Sox
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 54% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 59%