Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Rays 7
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 7:35 PM ET
Red Sox @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 266 | 227 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 3 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 155 | 155 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 50% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Athletics
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Athletics
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Athletics
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New York Yankees
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs New York Yankees
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs New York Yankees
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Athletics
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Athletics
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
Rays
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5