Final Score: Rays 3 - Cubs 4
Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET

Rays @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
73-75 Rating 1507
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
84-64 Rating 1527
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Cubs
All-time wins 14 10
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 3.3
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Cubs
Games played 148 148
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 49% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 61%