Final Score: Guardians 2 - Rays 4
Thursday, September 4, 2025 at 7:35 PM ET
Guardians @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Guardians | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 111 | 85 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Guardians | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 138 | 139 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 53% |
Recent Results
Guardians
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9
@ Texas Rangers
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
Rays
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2