Final Score: Mariners 5 - Rays 6
Tuesday, September 2, 2025 at 7:35 PM ET
Mariners @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 118 | 93 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 10 |
| Stat | Mariners | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 138 | 137 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 51% |
Recent Results
Mariners
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
vs Athletics
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs Athletics
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Athletics
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Rays
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Washington Nationals
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 21, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7