Final Score: Padres 3 - Mariners 4
Wednesday, August 27, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET
Padres @ Mariners
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 64 | 72 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 6 |
| Stat | Padres | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 133 | 133 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 60% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Seattle Mariners
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs San Francisco Giants
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
Mariners
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
vs Athletics
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs Athletics
Aug 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Athletics
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 13
2-11
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 19
7-12
@ New York Mets
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ New York Mets
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3