Final Score: Padres 4 - Dodgers 5
Sunday, August 17, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET
Padres @ Dodgers
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 434 | 537 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 6 |
| Stat | Padres | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 123 | 123 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 5.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 62% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 12
11-1
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ San Francisco Giants
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
Dodgers
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs San Diego Padres
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Los Angeles Angels
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Los Angeles Angels
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Los Angeles Angels
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6