Final Score: Red Sox 10 - Padres 2
Friday, August 8, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
64-52 Rating 1522
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
64-51 Rating 1546
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Padres
All-time wins 17 10
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 3.2
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Padres
Games played 116 115
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.8
Win percentage 55% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 65%