Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Twins 5
Monday, July 28, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Twins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
57-50 Rating 1513
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.1
Twins
50-55 Rating 1486
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Twins
All-time wins 276 240
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.5
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Twins
Games played 107 105
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 53% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 57%