Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Phillies 4
Tuesday, July 22, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Red Sox @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
54-48 Rating 1510
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Phillies
57-43 Rating 1547
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Phillies
All-time wins 52 36
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.4 4.3
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Phillies
Games played 102 100
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.0
Win percentage 53% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 64%