Final Score: Rays 4 - Red Sox 5
Friday, July 11, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET
Rays @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 227 | 261 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Rays | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 94 | 95 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 59% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Athletics
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Athletics
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Athletics
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
Red Sox
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 19
13-6