Final Score: Reds 3 - Red Sox 5
Tuesday, July 1, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Reds @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
44-41 Rating 1495
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Red Sox
42-44 Rating 1495
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Red Sox
All-time wins 10 21
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.4 5.2
Last meeting 6 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Red Sox
Games played 85 86
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.6
Win percentage 52% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 56%