Final Score: Padres 1 - Reds 8
Friday, June 27, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
44-36 Rating 1542
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Reds
42-39 Rating 1494
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Reds
All-time wins 309 348
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.5
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Reds
Games played 80 81
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.2
Win percentage 55% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 55%