Final Score: Padres 6 - Reds 4
Saturday, June 28, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET
Padres @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 309 | 349 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 8 |
| Stat | Padres | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 81 | 82 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 56% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 16
6-10
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 19, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 17, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
Reds
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs New York Yankees
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs New York Yankees
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New York Yankees
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 20, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Minnesota Twins
Jun 19, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 17
5-12
vs Minnesota Twins
Jun 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Minnesota Twins
Jun 17, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5