Final Score: Rays 5 - Twins 6
Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 2:10 PM ET

Rays @ Twins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
48-40 Rating 1530
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Twins
42-46 Rating 1489
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Twins
All-time wins 98 93
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.9 4.6
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Twins
Games played 88 88
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 55% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 57%