Final Score: Rays 3 - Twins 4
Friday, July 4, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET
Rays @ Twins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Twins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 98 | 92 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 0 |
| Stat | Rays | Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 87 | 87 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 59% | 56% |
Recent Results
Rays
vs Athletics
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Athletics
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Athletics
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 14
11-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 30
8-22
@ Kansas City Royals
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Kansas City Royals
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Kansas City Royals
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Detroit Tigers
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
Twins
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 13
2-11