Final Score: Red Sox 11 - Nationals 2
Friday, July 4, 2025 at 11:05 AM ET
Red Sox @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 26 | 16 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 88 | 87 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 43% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 42% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 19
13-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 16
15-1
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
@ San Francisco Giants
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
Nationals
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 13
2-11
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 24
15-9
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 20
7-13