Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Cubs 1
Sunday, July 20, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET

Red Sox @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
53-47 Rating 1509
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
59-39 Rating 1537
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Cubs
All-time wins 12 14
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.2 5.0
Last meeting 0 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Cubs
Games played 100 98
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.0
Win percentage 53% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 67%