Final Score: Phillies 4 - Padres 5
Saturday, July 12, 2025 at 7:35 PM ET
Phillies @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 295 | 229 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 4 |
| Stat | Phillies | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 94 | 94 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 64% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 13
13-0
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
Padres
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4