Final Score: Diamondbacks 6 - Padres 3
Monday, July 7, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
44-46 Rating 1510
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
48-41 Rating 1539
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Padres
All-time wins 244 226
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 2 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Padres
Games played 90 89
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.9
Win percentage 49% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 64%