Final Score: Royals 9 - Diamondbacks 3
Friday, July 4, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET
Royals @ Diamondbacks
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Royals | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 21 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 5.0 | 5.3 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 8 |
| Stat | Royals | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 88 | 87 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.3 | 5.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.7 | 5.1 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 49% |
Recent Results
Royals
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Diamondbacks
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 17
8-9
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 10
10-0