Final Score: Diamondbacks 8 - Padres 2
Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
45-47 Rating 1511
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
49-42 Rating 1539
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Padres
All-time wins 245 227
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 0 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Padres
Games played 92 91
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.9
Win percentage 49% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 64%