Final Score: Mets 6 - Padres 7
Monday, July 28, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET
Mets @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 260 | 264 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 3.9 | 3.8 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Mets | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 106 | 106 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 63% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
Padres
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 24, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2