Final Score: Padres 2 - Nationals 4
Saturday, July 19, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Padres @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
53-44 Rating 1541
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.8
Nationals
38-59 Rating 1437
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Nationals
All-time wins 249 268
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 4.2
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Nationals
Games played 97 97
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.9 5.4
Win percentage 55% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 38%