Final Score: Padres 7 - Nationals 2
Friday, July 18, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Padres @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
52-44 Rating 1540
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.8
Nationals
38-58 Rating 1439
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Nationals
All-time wins 248 268
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 4.2
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Nationals
Games played 96 96
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.9 5.4
Win percentage 54% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 39%