Final Score: Reds 8 - Mets 4
Friday, July 18, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Reds @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
50-47 Rating 1493
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.7
Mets
55-42 Rating 1536
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Mets
All-time wins 258 260
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.2
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Mets
Games played 97 97
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.9
Win percentage 52% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 70%