Final Score: Mets 3 - Royals 1
Saturday, July 12, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET
Mets @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 13 | 15 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 3 |
| Stat | Mets | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 95 | 95 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 48% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs New York Yankees
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs New York Yankees
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
vs New York Yankees
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
Royals
vs New York Mets
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3