Final Score: Pirates 3 - Royals 9
Monday, July 7, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET

Pirates @ Royals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
38-53 Rating 1464
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Kansas City Royals +0.4
Royals
43-48 Rating 1478
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Royals
All-time wins 22 23
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 5.2
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Royals
Games played 91 91
Avg runs scored 3.4 3.3
Avg runs conceded 3.8 3.7
Win percentage 42% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 27% 45%