Final Score: Mets 2 - Pirates 9
Saturday, June 28, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET

Mets @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
48-35 Rating 1538
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.6
Pirates
33-50 Rating 1458
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Pirates
All-time wins 338 317
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 4.0
Last meeting 1 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Pirates
Games played 83 83
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.3
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.0
Win percentage 58% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 50%