Final Score: Pirates 3 - Royals 4
Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET
Pirates @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 22 | 25 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 5.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Pirates | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 93 | 93 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Win percentage | 41% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 26% | 48% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs New York Mets
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 13
12-1
vs New York Mets
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
Royals
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 7, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 6, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5