Final Score: Marlins 5 - Reds 1
Monday, July 7, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
40-48 Rating 1460
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.6
Reds
46-44 Rating 1494
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Reds
All-time wins 104 135
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Reds
Games played 88 90
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.3
Win percentage 45% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 56%