Final Score: Padres 2 - Diamondbacks 6
Monday, August 4, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET
Padres @ Diamondbacks
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 228 | 246 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Padres | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 112 | 112 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 48% |
Recent Results
Padres
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs New York Mets
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs New York Mets
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs New York Mets
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 24, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
Diamondbacks
@ Athletics
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Athletics
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Athletics
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Houston Astros
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4