Final Score: Astros 4 - Diamondbacks 3
Wednesday, July 23, 2025 at 3:40 PM ET
Astros @ Diamondbacks
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 71 | 80 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 1 |
| Stat | Astros | Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 101 | 102 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 5.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 53% | 49% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 14
11-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 8, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 16
6-10
Diamondbacks
vs Houston Astros
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Houston Astros
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 19, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 11
10-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 13, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 12, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 11, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 9, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2