Final Score: Guardians 4 - Astros 2
Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Guardians @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
42-48 Rating 1499
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.8
Astros
55-37 Rating 1555
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Astros
All-time wins 48 51
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.3
Last meeting 10 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Astros
Games played 90 92
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.7
Win percentage 47% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 67%