Final Score: Cubs 12 - Astros 3
Saturday, June 28, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET
Cubs @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 279 | 316 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 7 |
| Stat | Cubs | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 82 | 82 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.4 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 3.6 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 55% | 70% |
Recent Results
Cubs
@ Houston Astros
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 20
6-14
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
vs Seattle Mariners
Jun 20, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Astros
vs Chicago Cubs
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 21, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jun 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Athletics
Jun 19, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Athletics
Jun 18, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
@ Athletics
Jun 17, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 16
13-3