Final Score: Tigers 2 - Guardians 1
Friday, July 4, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Tigers @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
54-34 Rating 1531
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Detroit Tigers +0.1
Guardians
40-45 Rating 1500
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Guardians
All-time wins 435 445
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.6
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Guardians
Games played 88 85
Avg runs scored 5.1 3.6
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.2
Win percentage 61% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 50%