Final Score: Rangers 4 - Astros 5
Saturday, July 12, 2025 at 7:35 PM ET

Rangers @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rangers
47-48 Rating 1494
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.8
Astros
55-39 Rating 1551
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rangers Astros
All-time wins 147 144
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.6
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Rangers Astros
Games played 95 94
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.4
Avg runs conceded 3.6 3.8
Win percentage 49% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 64%