Final Score: Mariners 4 - Phillies 6
Tuesday, August 19, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Mariners @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
68-58 Rating 1525
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
72-53 Rating 1550
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Phillies
All-time wins 14 12
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 7 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Phillies
Games played 126 125
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.0
Win percentage 54% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 64%